Outlook for Air Transport to the Year 2025.

 

Chapter 1. Summary.

Chapter 2. Air Transport Trends and Challenges.

•  Economic development and airline traffic patterns.
•  Trends in scheduled passenger, freight and mail traffic.
• International and domestic traffic. 
• Regional distribution of scheduled international traffic
•  Passenger traffic on major intercontinental route groups
•  Trends in non-scheduled passenger traffic
•  Aircraft movements
•  Fleet composition and productivity
•  Relationship between productivity, prices and financial performance
•  Safety and quality of service
•  Airport and airspace congestion
•  Environmental protection
•  Financial resources
•  Economic regulation
•  Industry structure 
•  Product distribution
•  Alliances and airline cooperation
•  Airline business models 
•  Privatization, national consolidation and transnational ownership 

 Chapter 3. World Economic Environment

•  Historical trends
•  Outlook

Chapter 4. Airline Financial Trends 

• Operating revenues, expenses and results
• Global trends
• Yields and unit costs 
• Operating revenues and expenses by category and region
• Outlook 

Chapter 5. Forecasts of Airline Traffic to the Year 2025 

• Forecasting methodology
• Main assumptions and econometric models
• Global passenger forecasts
• Regional passenger forecasts
• Passenger forecasts by route group
• Global freight forecasts
• Regional freight forecasts
• Accuracy of previous forecasts 
• Summary of air traffic forecasts by other organizations 

Chapter 6. Forecasts of Aircraft Movements to the Year 2025

•  Factors affecting aircraft movements
•  Measures of aircraft movements  Forecasting methodology
•  Forecasts of world scheduled aircraft movements

APPENDICES 

• Appendix 1. Econometric Models of Demand for World Scheduled Air Traffic
• Appendix 2. Model for Aircraft Movement Forecasts

TABLES

•  Table 1-1. ICAO air traffic forecasts — World (1985–2025)
• Table 1-2. ICAO air traffic forecasts — Regions of airline registration (1985–2025).
• Table 1-3. ICAO air traffic forecasts — Route groups (1985–2025).
• Table 2-1. Trends in total scheduled traffic — World (1975–2005).
• Table 2-2. International non-scheduled passenger traffic — World (1985 and 2005).
• Table 2-3. Productivity of international scheduled airlines — World (1965–2005)
• Table 4-1. Operating revenues and expenses — World (1965–2005)
• Table 4-2. Total and unit operating revenues and expenses — World (1985 and 2005)
• Table 4-3. Distribution of operating revenues and expenses — World (1985 and 2005)
• Table 4-4. Distribution of operating revenues and expenses — Regions of airline registration (1985 and 2005).
• Table 5-1. ICAO scheduled passenger traffic forecasts — World (1985–2025)
• Table 5-2. ICAO scheduled passenger traffic — Regions of airline registration (1985–2025)
• Table 5-3. ICAO air traffic forecasts— Route groups (1985–2025)
• Table 5-4. ICAO scheduled freight traffic forecasts — World (1985–2025)
• Table 5-5. ICAO scheduled freight traffic — Regions of airline registration (1985–2025) 
• Table 5-6. Global scheduled traffic forecasts by aerospace manufacturers
• Table 6-1. ICAO aircraft movements forecast — World (1995–2025)
• Table A2-1. Growth in aircraft movements and contributing factors — World (1995–2025).

FIGURES 

• Figure 2-1. Economic and airline traffic trends — World (1960–2005) 
• Figure 2-2. Trends in scheduled international and domestic traffic — World (1985 and 2005) 
• Figure 2-3. International passenger and freight traffic — Shares by region (1985 and 2005) 
• Figure 2-4. Passenger-kilometres performed on scheduled services — Major international route groups (1985 and 2005) .....
• Figure 2-5. Growth in passengers and aircraft movements — World (1960–2005)
• Figure 2-6. Composition of commercial aircraft fleet — World (1960–2005)
• Figure 2-7. Trends in airline productivity — World (1960–2005)
• Figure 2-8. Input price trends — World (1960–2005)
• Figure 2-9. Trends in airline industry performance — World (1960–2005)
• Figure 2-10. Aircraft orders, deliveries and operating margin — World (1985–2005)
• Figure 3-1. Growth of real GDP and GDP per capita — World (1985–2005)
• Figure 4-1. Scheduled airline operating revenues and expenses — World (1985–2005)
• Figure 4-2. Financial performance indicators of scheduled airlines — World (1985–2005)
• Figure 4-3. Passenger and freight yields of scheduled airlines — World (1975–2005)
• Figure 4-4. Changes in unit operating costs of scheduled airlines and fuel prices — World (1975–2005)
• Figure 4-5. Share of fuel and oil in operating expenses of scheduled airlines — World (1985–2005).
• Figure 5-1. Trends in scheduled passenger traffic — World (1985–2025)
• Figure 5-2. Trends in scheduled freight traffic — World (1985–2025)
• Figure 5-3. ICAO forecast accuracy (growth of passenger-kilometres performed)
• Figure 5-4. ICAO forecast accuracy (growth of freight tonne-kilometres)
• Figure 6-1. Average aircraft size and load factor — World (1960–2005)
• Figure 6-2. Average aircraft stage length — World (1960–2005)